Another Big Freeze On The Way?!

Mon Feb 2 07:31:00 PST 2009

Yes I see that the GFSX model 1800 & 0000 UTC runs are now forecasting warmer temps. at 850 mb. We will have to see what the 1200 UTC run says.

Even with the warmer 850 mb temps on the 0000 UTC run the surface temperature MOS has come out colder. It's going for 26 here in Lakeland and 24 deg. in Plant City, equal to last weeks freeze on the morning of the 22nd.

On the morning of the 22nd I had 26 deg. here in the suburban heat island of Lakeland. My rural weather station north of Plant City saw 19 deg. and my rural weather station in Nobleton in Sumter County saw 15 deg. That 15 deg. reading at Nobleton was the second coldest recorded at that location going back to 1975. The coldest ever was 8 deg. in 1989.

Take Care,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Lakeland, FL, USA
kn4lf at arrl.net

CWOP #AR692/KN4LF
CoCoRaHs #FL-PK-18
NWS Skywarn #POL-10A

Lakeland, FL Daily Climatological Weather Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf22.htm 
Harmful Man Induced Climate Change (Global Warming) Refuted: http://www.kn4lf.com/globalwarminglie.htm 
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Phil Beverly 
  To: Thomas F. Giella KN4LF 
  Sent: Sunday, February 01, 2009 6:12 PM
  Subject: Re: Another Big Freeze On The Way?!

        I've tried to stay away from models. Broke down at 18z and indulged. Wished I hadn't. Jinxed us, I fear.

        Phil in Gainesville

        --- On Sun, 2/1/09, Thomas F. Giella KN4LF <kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com> wrote:

          From: Thomas F. Giella KN4LF <kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com>
          Subject: Another Big Freeze On The Way?!
          To: kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com
          Date: Sunday, February 1, 2009, 6:30 AM

Guys & Gals,It looks like we are still on track for some strong storms during theMonday-Tuesday 02/02-03/2009 period. It appears that the surface extratropical(cold) low will cross the peninsula and given that and other strong atmosphericdynamics some isolated severe weather is possible.During the Wednesday-Friday
 02/04-06/2009 period another significant freezeevent is probable with the coldest day being the 5th.. Minimum temperaturescould drop as low if not lower than the last freeze that occurred between01/20-24/2009. In inland rural areas the subfreezing line will extend as farsouth as Immokalee in the Everglades.As before there is also a slim chance for ocean effect snow showers along thewest coast of the central peninsula, with better chances over NE Florida onearly Wednesday morning the 18th.We should then see a mild to warm period between approximately 02/07-14/2009followed more cold weather.Take Care,Thomas F. Giella, KN4LFLakeland, FL, USAkn4lf at arrl.netCWOP #AR692/KN4LFCoCoRaHs #FL-PK-18NWS Skywarn #POL-10ALakeland, FL Daily Climatological Weather Data Archive:http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf22.htmHarmful Man Induced Climate Change (Global Warming)
 Refuted:http://www.kn4lf.com/globalwarminglie.htm----- Original Message ----- From: "Thomas F. Giella KN4LF"<kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com>To: <kn4lf at tampabay.rr.com>Sent: Thursday, January 29, 2009 10:18 PMSubject: Another Big Freeze For Florida?> Guys and Gals,> > Taking a look at the 1200 UTC run of the GFSX forecast model, if itverifies> the weather could get pretty rough in Florida on February 3-4, 2009.> > It looks like the surface low may undergo bombogenesis after crossing the> state. It kind of reminds me of the March 1993 superstorm misnamed as> the "no named" hurricane by the media.> > So the bottom line is that if the model verifies Florida could see asevere> weather outbreak followed by another significant freeze event.> > 73 & GUD DX,> Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF> Lakeland, FL, USA>
 kn4lf at arrl.net> > KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio Autobiography: http://www.kn4lf.com73 & GUD DX,Thomas F. Giella, KN4LFLakeland, FL, USAkn4lf at arrl.netKN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio Autobiography: http://www.kn4lf.comNo virus found in this outgoing message.Checked by AVG - www.avg.comVersion: 8.0.233 / Virus Database: 270.10.16/1928 - Release Date: 01/31/0920:03:00 

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