From n9bfa at yahoo.com  Fri Apr  1 08:11:51 2011
From: n9bfa at yahoo.com (Phil Grinker)
Date: Fri, 1 Apr 2011 08:11:51 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: [LakelandARC] the next step in life - finally!
In-Reply-To: <imte6j+4u22@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <491798.48966.qm@web45501.mail.sp1.yahoo.com>

George.
I hope you enjoy retirement as much as I do.? It will be 5 years the end of this month.

Just got a 857D for mobile.

Phil, n9bfa

--- On Tue, 3/29/11, george_kj4uw <gwmann at verizon.net> wrote:

From: george_kj4uw <gwmann at verizon.net>
Subject: [LakelandARC] the next step in life - finally!
To: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com
Date: Tuesday, March 29, 2011, 8:07 PM







?



  


    
      
      
      Lakeland Amateur Friends,

It is with great happiness that I tell you that I have notified my employer of my desire to retire!  My plans are to work until the end of April, then be on call through June. This decision has been in the making since last year. Joan and I felt the time is right as we want to spend more time with our grandchildren while they are still young and not too independent!  



Should someone be interested, my personal email address is gwmann at verizon.net. I also have a Facebook page which I will hopefully have time to update? 



I plan on staying active with a few projects; I hope to see you when I am out and about. I hope to make a few breafast meetings, QCWA activities and I am planning to get involved in field day to a greater extent!~



Most of all "Thanks for your continued friendship

George KJ4UW





    
     

    
    


 



  



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From gagnon at tampabay.rr.com  Mon Apr  4 15:11:24 2011
From: gagnon at tampabay.rr.com (WZ1P)
Date: Mon, 04 Apr 2011 22:11:24 -0000
Subject: the next step in life - finally!
In-Reply-To: <imte6j+4u22@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <indfmc+101om@eGroups.com>

OMG George, thats wonderful news. I retired at 46 and never looked back. Now, it's going to take a year or two for you to get into the retirement groove but it will happen. Soon all will be past history then the fun begins. Glad to see you made the leap. 

Dan WZ1P



From ks4ji at yahoo.com  Tue Apr  5 15:21:26 2011
From: ks4ji at yahoo.com (Gary)
Date: Tue, 05 Apr 2011 22:21:26 -0000
Subject: Delta Loop
Message-ID: <ing4l6+b8r2@eGroups.com>

Looking for the file about Delta Loops that we use for Field Day but can't find it.  Any help would be appreciated.



From ks4ji at yahoo.com  Tue Apr  5 15:44:07 2011
From: ks4ji at yahoo.com (Gary)
Date: Tue, 05 Apr 2011 22:44:07 -0000
Subject: Delta Loop
In-Reply-To: <ing4l6+b8r2@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <ing5vn+4tkt@eGroups.com>



--- In LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com, "Gary" <ks4ji at ...> wrote:
>
> Looking for the file about Delta Loops that we use for Field Day but can't find it.  Any help would be appreciated.
>
Never mind I got it.  Thanks



From gwmann at verizon.net  Wed Apr  6 11:23:13 2011
From: gwmann at verizon.net (george_kj4uw)
Date: Wed, 06 Apr 2011 18:23:13 -0000
Subject: GPS Is Being Threatened - possibly ham frequencies
Message-ID: <inib2h+cth8@eGroups.com>

GPS Is Being Threatened
By Joseph Paiva

In January, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) granted a conditional waiver to LightSquared, a company with ambitions of providing wholesale mobile broadband service. LightSquared has radio spectrum licenses for use in communication satellites and now intends to install up to 40,000 high-powered, land-based transmitters that broadcast in the same band that its communications satellite channels now use. To do this, LightSquared needs approval from FCC to change the way the section of the frequency band allocated for satellite signals is to be used. The conditional waiver already granted allows LightSquared to continue development of the terrestrial network, and it can now broadcast high-powered signals in a section of the band formerly reserved for low-power signals from space.

Unfortunately for GPS, the section of the spectrum, referred to as the L-band, in which LightSquared will provide broadband service is immediately adjacent to the section of the L-band used by GPS. As people listen to their favorite FM radio station as they drive, they may experience interference when another station's transmitter is powerful, or nearby, or both. This is what researchers expect would happen with GPS should LightSquared ever be allowed to go operational. But the problem is much more severe?some estimates put the LightSquared signal at more than one billion times the power of signals from GPS as received by GPS receivers. Are there technical solutions? The fact is that any technical theory at this point is just that?a theory, untested, unproven, and unverified. The laws of physics make solving this problem very difficult. GPS has served us all extremely well for the last 30 years, in part because nearby frequencies have also been preserved solely for space-to-earth communications. Protection of the GPS service for all users has to be the number- one priority in the FCC process.

FCC has mandated GPS interference research. In response, LightSquared, the US GPS Industry Council, and others, are working on this study. One problem created by the FCC conditional waiver is that LightSquared is able to move ahead with its infrastructure development assuming that viable solutions to the jamming issue will be found. For many users of GPS, theoretical fixes may not be sufficient.

What Can Be Done About It?
Stop FCC from issuing a Final Order in favor of LightSquared and prevent repurposing of the section of the L-band immediately adjacent to that used by GPS.

What Can You Do to Help?
Contact Congress. Members of the GPS survey community who are concerned by the proposal can send letters, e-mails, or faxes or call on their congressional representatives to contact the FCC chairman directly or the chairman of the Senate and House Commerce Committee. You can also voice your concerns about GPS interference by sending comments directly to FCC at fccinfo at fcc.gov. Don't forget to include FCC File No. SAT-MOD-20101118-00239 in your correspondence.

About the Author
Joseph Paiva, PS, PE, is a consultant to the geomatics industry?practitioners, manufacturers, and developers; educator; and writer. Dr. Paiva's experience includes private engineering, surveying, and mapping consulting practice; university educator; developer; and general manager for two leading geomatics products corporations.




From rfoxwor1 at tampabay.rr.com  Fri Apr  8 14:53:42 2011
From: rfoxwor1 at tampabay.rr.com (rfoxwor1 at tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Fri, 8 Apr 2011 17:53:42 -0400
Subject: [MFDXA] action needed with HR607
In-Reply-To: <BANLkTint0QJ2oUEWtDYBBvTBqnB4uuNEvw@mail.gmail.com>
Message-ID: <20110408215342.0T5B8.12403.root@hrndva-web21-z01>

forwarded from MFDXA list
> 
> *From:* Pitts, Allen W1AGP <w1agp at arrl.org>
> *To:* pr at arrl.org
> *Sent:* Friday, April 08, 2011 1:16 PM
> *Subject:* [pr:11427] PIO action needed with HR607
> 
>  This is something you, as a PIO, need to be alert to....
> 
> 
> 
> The good news:
> 
> We are getting a good amount of publicity about our opposition to HR-607
> (the bill which would take away most of our 70cm band).
> 
> 
> 
> The bad news:
> 
> Reporters are not doing their homework.  While there?s nothing new in that,
> in this case we need to start being very careful about anything we say.
> Some of the bigger stories have it that 420-440 is being taken to be given
> to public service agencies.  That?s not true.
> 
> 
> 
> Why this is bad:
> 
> In publishing that 420-440 is to be given to police, fire and so on, these
> reports makes us appear like we?re acting in opposition to these agencies?
> needs.  We cannot win popular support that way.
> 
> 
> 
> What?s the truth:
> 
> Section 207 of HR-607 wants to take 420-440 and *SELL IT* AT AUCTION TO *
> COMMERCIAL* USERS.
> 
> 
> 
> What  do we need to do as PIOs:
> 
> *(1)    *Be very clear we are objecting to HR-607 *as written with that
> section 207 in it*.  We are not opposing the other parts of the bill - Just
> the part that wants to take our frequencies and *sell *them off
> commercially.
> 
> *(2)    *If you see a story that still has us opposing the public service
> agencies, *call or write the reporter/editor* and explain the difference and
> why it is important.  Push to get the story corrected.
> 
> *(3)    *Be ready to refer them to* www.arrl.org/hr-607*  for correct
> information
> 
> 
> 
> It?s very easy for proponents of the bill to wave the flag and boast of how
> they are helping the wonderful first responders who risk lives, yah-dah,
> yah-dah.  BUT....  this Section 207 has nothing to do with them.  *It?s all
> about the money*.  We must keep that point clear.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> *Allen Pitts, W1AGP*
> Media & PR Manager
> ARRL - the national association for Amateur Radio
> 225 Main St.  Newington, CT 06111
> (860) 594-0328
> 
> www.ARRL.org
> 
> ------------------------------
> pr mailing list



> pr at reflector.arrl.org
> http://reflector.arrl.org/mailman/listinfo/pr



From kd4efm1 at verizon.net  Wed Apr 13 16:47:19 2011
From: kd4efm1 at verizon.net (Evans F. Mitchell; KD4EFM / WQFK-894)
Date: Wed, 13 Apr 2011 19:47:19 -0400
Subject: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Predictions From Dr. William Gray
Message-ID: <2BB551CA0AB24F9EA9AC2C477D89511F@kd4efm.org>

 
 

Below is the latest 2011 Atlantic hurricane season forecast from Dr. William
Gray of Colorado State University. Dr. Gray will update his forecast in June
. 

 


ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2011 Forecast Parameter and
1950-2000 

Climatology (in parentheses) 

Issue Date 

8 December 2010 

Issue Date 

6 April 2011 


Named Storms (NS) (9.6) 

17 

16 


Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1) 

85 

80 


Hurricanes (H) (5.9) 

9 

9 


Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5) 

40 

35 


Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) 

5 

5 


Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (5.0) 

10 

10 


Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) 

165 

160 


Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%) 

180 

175 

 

 

PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON
EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS: 

1) Entire U.S. coastline - 72% (average for last century is 52%) 

 

2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 48% (average for last
century is 31%) 

 

3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 47%
(average for last century is 30%) 

 

PROBABILITY FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE TRACKING INTO
THE CARIBBEAN (10-20?N, 60-88?W) 

1)      61% (average for last century is 42%)

 

 

ABSTRACT 

Information obtained through March 2011 indicates that the 2011 Atlantic
hurricane season will have significantly more activity than the average
1950-2000 season. We estimate that 2011 will have about 9 hurricanes
(average is 5.9), 16 named storms (average is 9.6), 80 named storm days
(average is 49.1), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 5 major (Category
3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 10 major hurricane days (average is
5.0). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be
about 140 percent of the long-period average. We expect Atlantic basin Net
Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2011 to be approximately 175 percent of
the long-term average. We have decreased our seasonal forecast slightly from
early December, due to anomalous warming in the eastern and central tropical
Pacific and cooling in the tropical Atlantic. 

This forecast is based on a new extended-range early April statistical
prediction scheme that utilizes 29 years of past data. Analog predictors are
also utilized. We expect current La Ni?a conditions to transition to
near-neutral conditions during the heart of the hurricane season. Overall,
conditions remain conducive for a very active hurricane season.

 

Table 1: Observed versus early April cross-validated hindcast NTC for
1982-2010 using our new forecast scheme. Average errors for cross-validated
hindcast NTC and climatological NTC predictions are given without respect to
sign. Red bold-faced years in the ?Hindcast NTC? column are years that we
did not go the right way, while red bold-faced years in the ?Hindcast
improvement over Climatology? column are years that we did not beat
climatology. The hindcast went the right way with regards to an above- or
below-average season in 21 out of 29 years (72%), while hindcast improvement
over climatology occurred in 19 out of 29 years (66%). The hindcast has
improved upon climatology in all but four years since 1993.

 


Year 

Observed NTC 

Hindcast NTC 

Observed minus 

Hindcast 

Observed minus Climatology 

Hindcast improvement over Climatology 


1982 

38 

101 

-63 

-62 

-1 


1983 

31 

20 

11 

-69 

58 


1984 

80 

163 

-82 

-20 

-63 


1985 

106 

60 

45 

6 

-40 


1986 

37 

32 

5 

-63 

58 


1987 

46 

71 

-25 

-54 

29 


1988 

117 

134 

-17 

17 

0 


1989 

130 

96 

34 

30 

-4 


1990 

100 

91 

9 

0 

-9 


1991 

58 

97 

-39 

-42 

3 


1992 

67 

20 

47 

-33 

-14 


1993 

52 

60 

-8 

-48 

40 


1994 

35 

71 

-35 

-65 

29 


1995 

222 

158 

64 

122 

58 


1996 

192 

189 

3 

92 

89 


1997 

54 

91 

-38 

-46 

9 


1998 

169 

166 

3 

69 

66 


1999 

182 

121 

60 

82 

21 


2000 

134 

154 

-21 

34 

13 


2001 

135 

113 

22 

35 

13 


2002 

83 

136 

-53 

-17 

-36 


2003 

175 

139 

36 

75 

39 


2004 

232 

89 

142 

132 

-11 


2005 

279 

185 

94 

179 

85 


2006 

85 

139 

-54 

-15 

-39 


2007 

99 

135 

-36 

-1 

-35 


2008 

162 

201 

-39 

62 

24 


2009 

69 

78 

-9 

-31 

22 


2010 

195 

235 

-40 

95 

55 


Average 

116 

116 

39 

55 

+16 

 

 

Current Atlantic Basin Conditions 

Conditions in the Atlantic are favorable for an active season. SSTs across
the tropical Atlantic remain at above-average levels (Figure 12). However,
these anomalies have cooled somewhat over the past several months, likely
due to a mid-winter switch from a negative phase of the North Atlantic
Oscillation (NAO) to a positive phase of the NAO (Figure 13). A positive
phase of the NAO is associated with anomalously strong trades across the
tropical Atlantic, which promotes enhanced mixing and upwelling resulting in
anomalous cooling. Figure 14 displays the cooling in SSTs observed in the
tropical Atlantic from the latter part of March minus the latter part of
January. The anomalous cooling has been on the wane over the past couple of
weeks as the NAO has migrated back towards a neutral state. The atmospheric
state across the tropical Atlantic looks quite favorable for an active
season, as wind shear anomalies across the basin have been well below
average over the past two months.

 



 

8 Landfall Probabilities for 2011 

A significant focus of our recent research involves efforts to develop
forecasts of the probability of hurricane landfall along the U.S. coastline
and in the Caribbean. Whereas individual hurricane landfall events cannot be
accurately forecast months in advance, the total seasonal probability of
landfall can be forecast with statistical skill. With the observation that
landfall is a function of varying climate conditions, a probability
specification has been developed through statistical analyses of all U.S.
hurricane and named storm landfall events during the 20th century
(1900-1999). Specific landfall probabilities can be given for all tropical
cyclone intensity classes for a set of distinct U.S. coastal regions. 

Net landfall probability is shown linked to the overall Atlantic basin Net
Tropical Cyclone activity (NTC; see Table 8). NTC is a combined measure of
the year-to-year mean of six indices of hurricane activity, each expressed
as a percentage difference from the long-term average. Long-term statistics
show that, on average, the more active the overall Atlantic basin hurricane
season is, the greater the probability of U.S. hurricane landfall. 

 


Table 8: NTC activity in any year consists of the seasonal total of the
following six parameters expressed in terms of their long-term averages. A
season with 10 NS, 50 NSD, 6 H, 25 HD, 3 MH, and 5 MHD would then be the sum
of the following ratios: 10/9.6 = 104, 50/49.1 = 102, 6/5.9 = 102, 25/24.5 =
102, 3/2.3 = 130, 5/5.0 = 100, divided by six, yielding an NTC of 107.
1950-2000 Average 


1) 

Named Storms (NS) 

9.6 


2) 

Named Storm Days (NSD) 

49.1 


3) 

Hurricanes (H) 

5.9 


4) 

Hurricane Days (HD) 

24.5 


5) 

Major Hurricanes (MH) 

2.3 


6) 

Major Hurricane Days (MHD) 

5.0 

 

 

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From w4nhl.1 at gmail.com  Fri Apr 15 06:13:19 2011
From: w4nhl.1 at gmail.com (Neil Lauritsen)
Date: Fri, 15 Apr 2011 09:13:19 -0400
Subject: [LakelandARC] 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Predictions From Dr. William Gray
References: <2BB551CA0AB24F9EA9AC2C477D89511F@kd4efm.org>
Message-ID: <1D3EC6038B5442D39B65F7B4297B71E9@NEIL>



Hi Evans,

Long time no chat with you. I went to distribute your message and I could not get the picture associated with your message to show up. I tried to find where it came from but had no luck. Could you either send me the picture or point me in the right direction so I can get the message out in a timely manner, giving you credit for the information. Tnx.

73,

Neil
W4NHL

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Evans F. Mitchell; KD4EFM / WQFK-894 
  To: Polk County Fl. K4LKL ; Lakeland ARC 
  Sent: Wednesday, April 13, 2011 7:47 PM
  Subject: [LakelandARC] 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Predictions From Dr. William Gray


    



  Below is the latest 2011 Atlantic hurricane season forecast from Dr. William Gray of Colorado State University. Dr. Gray will update his forecast in June . 



        ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2011 Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 

        Climatology (in parentheses) 
       Issue Date 

        8 December 2010 
       Issue Date 

        6 April 2011 
       
        Named Storms (NS) (9.6) 
       17 
       16 
       
        Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1) 
       85 
       80 
       
        Hurricanes (H) (5.9) 
       9 
       9 
       
        Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5) 
       40 
       35 
       
        Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) 
       5 
       5 
       
        Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (5.0) 
       10 
       10 
       
        Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) 
       165 
       160 
       
        Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%) 
       180 
       175 
       





  PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS: 

  1) Entire U.S. coastline - 72% (average for last century is 52%) 



  2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 48% (average for last century is 31%) 



  3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 47% (average for last century is 30%) 



  PROBABILITY FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE TRACKING INTO THE CARIBBEAN (10-20?N, 60-88?W) 

  1)      61% (average for last century is 42%)





  ABSTRACT 

  Information obtained through March 2011 indicates that the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season will have significantly more activity than the average 1950-2000 season. We estimate that 2011 will have about 9 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 16 named storms (average is 9.6), 80 named storm days (average is 49.1), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 5 major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 10 major hurricane days (average is 5.0). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 140 percent of the long-period average. We expect Atlantic basin Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2011 to be approximately 175 percent of the long-term average. We have decreased our seasonal forecast slightly from early December, due to anomalous warming in the eastern and central tropical Pacific and cooling in the tropical Atlantic. 

  This forecast is based on a new extended-range early April statistical prediction scheme that utilizes 29 years of past data. Analog predictors are also utilized. We expect current La Ni?a conditions to transition to near-neutral conditions during the heart of the hurricane season. Overall, conditions remain conducive for a very active hurricane season.



  Table 1: Observed versus early April cross-validated hindcast NTC for 1982-2010 using our new forecast scheme. Average errors for cross-validated hindcast NTC and climatological NTC predictions are given without respect to sign. Red bold-faced years in the "Hindcast NTC" column are years that we did not go the right way, while red bold-faced years in the "Hindcast improvement over Climatology" column are years that we did not beat climatology. The hindcast went the right way with regards to an above- or below-average season in 21 out of 29 years (72%), while hindcast improvement over climatology occurred in 19 out of 29 years (66%). The hindcast has improved upon climatology in all but four years since 1993.



        Year 
       Observed NTC 
       Hindcast NTC 
       Observed minus 

        Hindcast 
       Observed minus Climatology 
       Hindcast improvement over Climatology 
       
        1982 
       38 
       101 
       -63 
       -62 
       -1 
       
        1983 
       31 
       20 
       11 
       -69 
       58 
       
        1984 
       80 
       163 
       -82 
       -20 
       -63 
       
        1985 
       106 
       60 
       45 
       6 
       -40 
       
        1986 
       37 
       32 
       5 
       -63 
       58 
       
        1987 
       46 
       71 
       -25 
       -54 
       29 
       
        1988 
       117 
       134 
       -17 
       17 
       0 
       
        1989 
       130 
       96 
       34 
       30 
       -4 
       
        1990 
       100 
       91 
       9 
       0 
       -9 
       
        1991 
       58 
       97 
       -39 
       -42 
       3 
       
        1992 
       67 
       20 
       47 
       -33 
       -14 
       
        1993 
       52 
       60 
       -8 
       -48 
       40 
       
        1994 
       35 
       71 
       -35 
       -65 
       29 
       
        1995 
       222 
       158 
       64 
       122 
       58 
       
        1996 
       192 
       189 
       3 
       92 
       89 
       
        1997 
       54 
       91 
       -38 
       -46 
       9 
       
        1998 
       169 
       166 
       3 
       69 
       66 
       
        1999 
       182 
       121 
       60 
       82 
       21 
       
        2000 
       134 
       154 
       -21 
       34 
       13 
       
        2001 
       135 
       113 
       22 
       35 
       13 
       
        2002 
       83 
       136 
       -53 
       -17 
       -36 
       
        2003 
       175 
       139 
       36 
       75 
       39 
       
        2004 
       232 
       89 
       142 
       132 
       -11 
       
        2005 
       279 
       185 
       94 
       179 
       85 
       
        2006 
       85 
       139 
       -54 
       -15 
       -39 
       
        2007 
       99 
       135 
       -36 
       -1 
       -35 
       
        2008 
       162 
       201 
       -39 
       62 
       24 
       
        2009 
       69 
       78 
       -9 
       -31 
       22 
       
        2010 
       195 
       235 
       -40 
       95 
       55 
       
        Average 
       116 
       116 
       39 
       55 
       +16 
       





  Current Atlantic Basin Conditions 

  Conditions in the Atlantic are favorable for an active season. SSTs across the tropical Atlantic remain at above-average levels (Figure 12). However, these anomalies have cooled somewhat over the past several months, likely due to a mid-winter switch from a negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) to a positive phase of the NAO (Figure 13). A positive phase of the NAO is associated with anomalously strong trades across the tropical Atlantic, which promotes enhanced mixing and upwelling resulting in anomalous cooling. Figure 14 displays the cooling in SSTs observed in the tropical Atlantic from the latter part of March minus the latter part of January. The anomalous cooling has been on the wane over the past couple of weeks as the NAO has migrated back towards a neutral state. The atmospheric state across the tropical Atlantic looks quite favorable for an active season, as wind shear anomalies across the basin have been well below average over the past two months.







  8 Landfall Probabilities for 2011 

  A significant focus of our recent research involves efforts to develop forecasts of the probability of hurricane landfall along the U.S. coastline and in the Caribbean. Whereas individual hurricane landfall events cannot be accurately forecast months in advance, the total seasonal probability of landfall can be forecast with statistical skill. With the observation that landfall is a function of varying climate conditions, a probability specification has been developed through statistical analyses of all U.S. hurricane and named storm landfall events during the 20th century (1900-1999). Specific landfall probabilities can be given for all tropical cyclone intensity classes for a set of distinct U.S. coastal regions. 

  Net landfall probability is shown linked to the overall Atlantic basin Net Tropical Cyclone activity (NTC; see Table 8). NTC is a combined measure of the year-to-year mean of six indices of hurricane activity, each expressed as a percentage difference from the long-term average. Long-term statistics show that, on average, the more active the overall Atlantic basin hurricane season is, the greater the probability of U.S. hurricane landfall. 



        Table 8: NTC activity in any year consists of the seasonal total of the following six parameters expressed in terms of their long-term averages. A season with 10 NS, 50 NSD, 6 H, 25 HD, 3 MH, and 5 MHD would then be the sum of the following ratios: 10/9.6 = 104, 50/49.1 = 102, 6/5.9 = 102, 25/24.5 = 102, 3/2.3 = 130, 5/5.0 = 100, divided by six, yielding an NTC of 107. 1950-2000 Average 
       
        1) 
       Named Storms (NS) 
       9.6 
       
        2) 
       Named Storm Days (NSD) 
       49.1 
       
        3) 
       Hurricanes (H) 
       5.9 
       
        4) 
       Hurricane Days (HD) 
       24.5 
       
        5) 
       Major Hurricanes (MH) 
       2.3 
       
        6) 
       Major Hurricane Days (MHD) 
       5.0 
       






  
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From kd4efm1 at verizon.net  Fri Apr 15 14:54:26 2011
From: kd4efm1 at verizon.net (Evans F. Mitchell; KD4EFM / WQFK-894)
Date: Fri, 15 Apr 2011 17:54:26 -0400
Subject: [LakelandARC] 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Predictions From Dr. William
 Gray
In-Reply-To: <1D3EC6038B5442D39B65F7B4297B71E9@NEIL>
References: <2BB551CA0AB24F9EA9AC2C477D89511F@kd4efm.org>
 <1D3EC6038B5442D39B65F7B4297B71E9@NEIL>
Message-ID: <AD6DF9F7264548DE910E4266E527869B@kd4efm.org>

Neil, I sent it to the WCF ARES and to your PCACS mail boxes..
By the way, credit not needed, this was sent from the Polk County EOC
Director...
 
 
 

Evans F. Mitchell
KD4EFM
  

 

  _____  

From: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com [mailto:LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com] On
Behalf Of Neil Lauritsen
Sent: Friday, April 15, 2011 9:13 AM
To: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [LakelandARC] 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Predictions From Dr.
William Gray


  


 
 
Hi Evans,
 
Long time no chat with you. I went to distribute your message and I could
not get the picture associated with your message to show up. I tried to find
where it came from but had no luck. Could you either send me the picture or
point me in the right direction so I can get the message out in a timely
manner, giving you credit for the information. Tnx.
 
73,
 
Neil
W4NHL
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From ki4nbe at yahoo.com  Sat Apr 16 21:42:30 2011
From: ki4nbe at yahoo.com (George)
Date: Sun, 17 Apr 2011 04:42:30 -0000
Subject: Florida Qso Party
Message-ID: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>

I'm just so overwhelmed and had to share my latest achievement.
Not only did I come in 24th place in the State during the 2010 Florida Qso Party but here is the best part....
I Got "1st Place" For Polk County Single Op SSB only Low power.

The Award is posted on my QRZ page under my Call KI4NBE.



Ps. This years FQP is April 30 - May 1 2010

Good Luck.

George KI4NBE
  



From ki4nbe at yahoo.com  Sat Apr 16 22:00:53 2011
From: ki4nbe at yahoo.com (George Gafford Sr)
Date: Sat, 16 Apr 2011 22:00:53 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party
In-Reply-To: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
References: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <910565.51111.qm@web38606.mail.mud.yahoo.com>

oops April 30 - May 1 2011

 73 de George/KI4NBE




________________________________
From: George <ki4nbe at yahoo.com>
To: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com
Sent: Sun, April 17, 2011 12:42:30 AM
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party

  
I'm just so overwhelmed and had to share my latest achievement.
Not only did I come in 24th place in the State during the 2010 Florida Qso Party 
but here is the best part....
I Got "1st Place" For Polk County Single Op SSB only Low power.

The Award is posted on my QRZ page under my Call KI4NBE.

Ps. This years FQP is April 30 - May 1 2010

Good Luck.

George KI4NBE



 
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From ks4ji at yahoo.com  Sun Apr 17 03:27:34 2011
From: ks4ji at yahoo.com (Gary Lee)
Date: Sun, 17 Apr 2011 03:27:34 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party
In-Reply-To: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <466944.76114.qm@web45203.mail.sp1.yahoo.com>

Congratulations & Well Done

Gary
KS4JI


--- On Sun, 4/17/11, George <ki4nbe at yahoo.com> wrote:

From: George <ki4nbe at yahoo.com>
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party
To: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com
Date: Sunday, April 17, 2011, 12:42 AM















 
?



  


    
      
      
      I'm just so overwhelmed and had to share my latest achievement.

Not only did I come in 24th place in the State during the 2010 Florida Qso Party but here is the best part....

I Got "1st Place" For Polk County Single Op SSB only Low power.



The Award is posted on my QRZ page under my Call KI4NBE.



Ps. This years FQP is April 30 - May 1 2010



Good Luck.



George KI4NBE

  





    
     

    
    


 



  








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From nmonllor at tampabay.rr.com  Sun Apr 17 06:17:57 2011
From: nmonllor at tampabay.rr.com (N. A. Monllor)
Date: Sun, 17 Apr 2011 09:17:57 -0400
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party
In-Reply-To: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
References: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <003c01cbfd01$deb32c70$9c198550$@rr.com>

WAY TO GO, George!!!!!

Congratulations! It must feel wonderful.

Enjoy my friend, you earned it.

Ren

KG4BAS

 

From: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com [mailto:LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com] On
Behalf Of George
Sent: Sunday, April 17, 2011 12:43 AM
To: LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com
Subject: [LakelandARC] Florida Qso Party

 

  

I'm just so overwhelmed and had to share my latest achievement.
Not only did I come in 24th place in the State during the 2010 Florida Qso
Party but here is the best part....
I Got "1st Place" For Polk County Single Op SSB only Low power.

The Award is posted on my QRZ page under my Call KI4NBE.

Ps. This years FQP is April 30 - May 1 2010

Good Luck.

George KI4NBE





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From ki4nbe at yahoo.com  Sun Apr 17 18:58:23 2011
From: ki4nbe at yahoo.com (George)
Date: Mon, 18 Apr 2011 01:58:23 -0000
Subject: Florida Qso Party
In-Reply-To: <iodr3m+78fa@eGroups.com>
Message-ID: <iog5rv+f29q@eGroups.com>

Thank You Everyone

--- In LakelandARC at yahoogroups.com, "George" <ki4nbe at ...> wrote:
>
> I'm just so overwhelmed and had to share my latest achievement.
> Not only did I come in 24th place in the State during the 2010 Florida Qso Party but here is the best part....
> I Got "1st Place" For Polk County Single Op SSB only Low power.
> 
> The Award is posted on my QRZ page under my Call KI4NBE.
> 
> 
> 
> Ps. This years FQP is April 30 - May 1 2010
> 
> Good Luck.
> 
> George KI4NBE
>




From kq4kx at arrl.net  Mon Apr 18 15:53:14 2011
From: kq4kx at arrl.net (Richard Sharp, KQ4KX)
Date: Mon, 18 Apr 2011 18:53:14 -0400
Subject: FCC decision pertaining to 70cm
Message-ID: <002101cbfe1b$667f9340$337eb9c0$@arrl.net>

RECONROBOTICS, INC. REQUEST FOR WAIVER OF PART 90 OF THE COMMISSION'S

RULES.   Denied the McVey and Kirby petitions. Denied in part the

American Radio Relay League's petition. Granted ARRL's request for a
modified labeling requirement. (Dkt No.  08-63 ). Action by:  Chiefs,
Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Public Safety Homeland Security Bureau,
Office of Engineering and Technology. Adopted:  04/13/2011 by Order on
Reconsideration. (DA No. 11-675).  WTB 

http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DA-11-675A1.doc

 
<https://webmail.polkfl.com/owa/redir.aspx?C=38f062fd432840eeb5300073b4528ff
f&URL=http%3a%2f%2fhraunfoss.fcc.gov%2fedocs_public%2fattachmatch%2fDA-11-67
5A1.pdf> http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DA-11-675A1.pdf

 
<https://webmail.polkfl.com/owa/redir.aspx?C=38f062fd432840eeb5300073b4528ff
f&URL=http%3a%2f%2fhraunfoss.fcc.gov%2fedocs_public%2fattachmatch%2fDA-11-67
5A1.txt> http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DA-11-675A1.txt

 

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