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<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>NWS Melbourne is still forecasting a
rain/sleet-ice pellet/snow mix probability later tonight and Saturday.
</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT></STRONG> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>NWS Tampa Bay is no longer mentioning any
frozen precipitation.</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT></STRONG> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>It did snow in the western panhandle of
north Florida this morning. Snow was reported at Destin, Mary Esther, Panama
City, and Valparaiso, all official NWS observing
stations.<BR> </FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT></STRONG> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT></STRONG> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>768 <BR>FXUS62 KMLB 082010
<BR>AFDMLB <BR> <BR>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION <BR>NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL <BR>310 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2010
<BR> <BR>DISCUSSION <BR> <BR>
<BR>..BLUSTERY WITH COLD WIND CHILLS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT
<BR> <BR>...FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING AND <BR>AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING...
<BR> <BR>TONIGHT...FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SPACE COAST ATTM WITH
OVERCAST <BR>COLD CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF AREA ESP BEHIND THE
FRONT AS HIGHS <BR>WERE REACHED EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
<BR> <BR>TONIGHTS FORECAST CHALLENGES REMAIN ON AMOUNT OF COOL DOWN
AS WELL <BR>AS THE PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM
NAM/GFS @ <BR>12Z SAT BOTH INDICATE TEMPERATURE CURVES REMAINING AT
OR BELOW 3C <BR>BELOW A NEAR SATURATED LAYER ALOFT DOWN TO THE
GROUND SURFACE.<FONT color=#0000ff> THE <BR>"UNDERRUNNING" PROCESS
THROUGH FORCED PARCEL LIFTING IN STRONG COLD <BR>AIR ADVECTION ARGUES FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POST FRONTAL MIXED <BR>PHASE PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPMENT WITH A LIGHT RAIN...SLEET <BR>COMBINATION...POSSIBLY
CHANGING TO A RAIN/SNOW/SLEET COMBINATION <BR>SATURDAY MORNING
ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY AND NORTH BREVARD NORTHWARD.
<BR> <BR>EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN THE DRY NEAR SURFACE LAYER MAY ASSIST
IN <BR>CHANGEOVER TO SLEET/OR FLURRIES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
WITH <BR>CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER HAVE SIDED ON TEMPERATURES
REMAINING ABOVE <BR>FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH IS ABOVE
GUIDANCE. WILL KEEP THE <BR>CURRENT FREEZE WATCH IN PLACE FOR
FURTHER EVALUATION WITH EVENING <BR>GUID PKG HOWEVER. VERY COLD WIND
CHILLS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT <BR>PROMOTING THE EARLIER WIND CHILL
ADVISORY WITH 20S COMMON BY <BR>DAYBREAK SATURDAY.
<BR> <BR>SATURDAY...A RARE DAY FOR THE SUNSHINE STATE WITH A POSSIBLE
EARLY <BR>MIXTURE OF ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN/SLEET SNOW EARLY OVER
THE <BR>ORANGE/NORTH BREVARD COUNTY AREA AND LIGHT RAIN SPRINKLES IN
THE <BR>MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA. <BR></FONT>PRECIPITATION WL COME TO AN END OVER MOST AREAS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON <BR>WITH GRADUAL CLEARING AS ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO
SPILL SOUTH INTO <BR>THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE
IT INTO THE 40S OVER <BR>NORTHERN SECTIONS WITH TEMPS HOVERING IN
THE LOW TO MID 40S OVER THE <BR>REMAINDER OF THE AREA. WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A CONCERN <BR>ALL DAY AND THE CURRENT
ADVISORY REMAINS VALID UNTIL
NOON.
<BR> <BR>SAT NIGHT-TUE NGT...STRONG H50 SHORTWAVES TROUGH WILL ROTATE
SEWD <BR>THRU THE ERN CONUS LONGWAVE TROUGH SUN MORNING...AND THEN
AGAIN <BR>EARLY TUE. WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPS EXPECTED BOTH SUN/MON
MORNINGS <BR>WITH MOST INTERIOR AWAY FROM THE COAST DROPPING INTO
THE UPPER 20S <BR>(WITH A FEW L-M 20S IN NORMALLY COLDER SHELTERED
SPOTS) WITH BRISK <BR>NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH CONTINUING. SUBSEQUENT
SHIFTS WILL NEED WIND <BR>CHILL ADVISORY OR WARNINGS POSTED STARTING
AROUND SUNSET SAT...AND <BR>FREEZE WARNINGS ARE PRETTY MUCH IMMINENT.
COULD SEE HARD FREEZE <BR>NORTH OF I-4 AGAIN. MAX TEMPS IN THE U40S FAR
NORTH AND L-M50S FAR <BR>SOUTH. FREEZING TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
ECFL OVERNIGHT INTO <BR>MONDAY MORNING AS WELL...WITH WDSPRD
U20S-L30S EXPECTED. DAYTIME <BR>HIGHS MON REACHING THE MID 50S
NORTH-L60S SOUTH...BUT NEXT SURGE <BR>WILL LKLY BRING YET ANOTHER
THREAT OF FREEZING TEMPS TUE NGT. <BR> <BR>MID-LATE WEEK(PREV.)..MED
RANGE GUIDANCE STILL HAS BIG DISCREPANCIES <BR>FROM MID TO LATE
WEEK. ECMWF DEEPER/SLOWER WRT CUTOFF LOW IN DEEP SW <BR>VERSUS
GFS...BUT MUCH OF THE ASSOCIATED LOCAL IMPACT WX WILL REMAIN
<BR>BEYOND THIS FORECAST CYCLE. SOME HEIGHT RISES AND VEERING LIGHT
FLOW <BR>WILL ALLOW FOR THE AIR MASS TO MODERATE A BIT WITH SOME
MID/UPPER <BR>60S BY WED AND MAYBE RECOVERING INTO THE LOWER 70S
SOUTH BY THU. ANY <BR>MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES NOT UNTIL THE
APPROACH OF NEXT WEEKEND. <BR></FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>Happy New year 2010,<BR>Thomas F. Giella,
NZ4O<BR>Lakeland, FL, US<BR><A
href="mailto:nz4o@arrl.net">nz4o@arrl.net</A><BR>John 3:16
<><</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>CWOP #AR692/NZ4O<BR>CoCoRaHs
#FL-PK-18<BR>NWS Skywarn #POL-10A</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT size=2 face=Arial>Lakeland FL Weather Observations: <A
href="http://www.wcflunatall.com/index1.html">http://www.wcflunatall.com/index1.html</A>
<BR>Florida & U.S. Raw Weather Forecasting Resource Links: <A
href="http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o13.htm">http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o13.htm</A>
<BR>Lakeland, FL Daily Climatological Weather Data Archive: <A
href="http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o22.htm">http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o22.htm</A>
<BR>Harmful Man Induced Climate Change (Global Warming) Refuted: <A
href="http://www.globalwarminglie.org">http://www.globalwarminglie.org</A><BR>NZ4O
Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: <A
href="http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o1.htm">http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o1.htm</A>
</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
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