FW: Weather Warnings Hurricane Local Statement

[Evans F. Mitchell; KD4EFM / AFA2TH / WQFK 894]

Recent Update.
I will be monitoring the situation now that I am off work
and will advise later this evening if and when there will
be an ARES NET for FAY.

Evans Mitchell
EC, POLK ARES
 

-----Original Message-----
From: WCF-SKYWARN-WARNINGS at yahoogroups.com
[mailto:WCF-SKYWARN-WARNINGS at yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of Times Weather
Server
Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 2:17 PM
To: WCF-SKYWARN-WARNINGS at yahoogroups.com; adorn at sptimes.com;
rbarretto at sptimes.com
Subject: Weather Warnings Hurricane Local Statement
Importance: High

WTUS82 KTBW 171815
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
215 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MANATEE COUNTY SOUTH...
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS
COUNTIES...

.AT 2 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8
DEGREES NORTH...79.8 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 17 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1006 MB... OR 29.71
INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TUESDAY
AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-172200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
215 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO
ANNA MARIA IN MANATEE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY
<HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY>  ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
5 TO 7 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS...AND 3 TO 5
FEET ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA DURING TUESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A
5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH
OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK... A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL
BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ056-057-172200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
215 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS
COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY
<HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY>  ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA DURING TUESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A
3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH
OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK... A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL
BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

PRC